This paper investigates the existence of Granger causality and cointegrated relationships between tourism related Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and tourism development in developing countries using panel VECM techniques from 1995 to 2008. The results confirm the existence of a co-integrated relationship between variables in the long run. In addition, there is a bilateral long-run causality be...

This paper investigates the effects of shocks to U.S. monetary policy on the dollar/yen exchange rate, using structural Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methods. We compare our estimates of the impulse responses with those based on levels Vector Autoregression. We also compare results from short run and long run restrictions imposed on the structural VECM. We find evidence of overshooting b...

of the Paper: Using time-series and panel data from 1986 to 2004, this paper examines the Granger causality relations between GDP, exports, and FDI among China, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand, the eight rapidly developing East and Southeast Asian economies. After reviewing the current literature and testing the properties of individual time-series data,...

Two related issues are seldom jointly addressed in the cross market price discovery literature: i) a model that focuses on non-price parameter, ii) testing a non-price parameter model against a price parameter model. We have two objectives in this paper. First, develop a joint trade direction model (JTDM) from the single market model in Madhavan, Richardson and Roomans (1997). Second, estimate ...

Vector error -correction models (VECMs) have become increasingly popular in their applications to financial markets. Standard VECM models assume that the cointegrating vectors are of full rank such that they contain no zero elements. However, applications of VECM models to financial market data have revealed that zero entries are indeed possible. The existence of zero entries has not been fully...

Tax compliance is an important indicator for the proper functioning of tax authority, influencing budget revenue level. In this study, a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis was developed to identify long-term relationships between in individual income taxation (taxpayer’s behavior), public trust politicians (trust authorities), and rule law (power using unbalanced panel data European ...

abstract this study uses annual data over the period 2005-2014 and the panel vecm approach to examine financial inclusion and monetary policy effectiveness in africa. the study shows that financial inclusion and monetary policy effectiveness are linked by a set of long-run relationships. policy reaction to the positive financial inclusion shock is not significant. policy reaction to the positiv...

This article offers a comparison of short-term forecasting ability of five demand systems with an application to U+S+ meat consumption+ Four static demand systems ~AIDS, Rotterdam, AIM, and DGM! and a dynamic Vector Error Correction Model ~VECM! are considered+ We tested the equality of mean square forecast errors+ We also investigated the possibility of forecast encompassing among competing mo...